Thursday, July 14, 2011

Average Federal Taxes Paid by Income Group


My friend Fudgeman and I have had a lively debate about how much tax lower income folks should pay. He is outraged that 47% of American families do not pay Federal Income Tax.  As shown in the graph above, however, the lowest income quartile does pay something, primarily for Social Security and Medicare.

It is clear to me that we need to raise revenue or cut costs to pay for our entitlements - Social Security and Medicare. And Medicaid, Obama Care and Defense all need either cuts or increased revenue - Most likely both. Our current path is not sustainable.

In terms of program costs, Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid have gotten out of balance because of a couple of good things - we are living longer, in part because of better medical care. And those of us in the Baby Boom era are a very large cohort - as we retire we have fewer workers behind us to pay for the Social Security and Medicare benefits.

So Congress faces a difficult task - Raising the debt limit and perhaps cutting program costs and or increasing taxes.  And cutting benefits and raising taxes is a politically difficult and unpopular thing to do.

Fudgeman, you will be happy to know that I have thought this through and I do think that lower income folks should pay at least a little income tax. But it won't raise much revenue - they don't make enough. As shown by the Chart Below, the folks closer to the bottom rung don't make enough to raise very much revenue.

Click to Read the Article



http://ntu.org/tax-basics/who-pays-income-taxes.html


Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Warren Buffet and the Deficit


Warren Buffett Tells CNBC: ‘I Could End The Deficit In Five Minutes’

VIDEO
154 comments
Universally respected super-rich Midwestern gentleman Warren Buffett recently sat down for an interview with CNBC’s Becky Quick reporting from the all-powerful mogul retreat in Sun Valley, Idaho. Buffett was asked to opine on the current deficit crisis and debt ceiling conversation/quarrel/tantrum currently on the minds of politicians and media types alike, and provided a level-headed and reasonably bi-partisan assessment. No, this will not be the end of the world, he made clear, before echoing some of the words said by President Obama on this issue, asking why are we putting a gun to our heads over this?

I think Warren is on to something. I wonder if we could make this a Constitutional Amendment?


Monday, July 11, 2011

47% of Americans Pay no Federal Income Tax



Talk Radio and my friends who listen to it keep talking about the unfairness of lower income people paying little or no income tax. But the issue is more complicated than the talk radio pundits present it. The New York Times wrote an interesting column on the issue.
"That’s the portion of American households that owe no income tax for 2009. The number is up from 38 percent in 2007, and it has become a popular talking point on cable television and talk radio. With Tax Day coming on Thursday, 47 percent has become shorthand for the notion that the wealthy face a much higher tax burden than they once did while growing numbers of Americans are effectively on the dole."

"Neither one of those ideas is true. They rely on a cleverly selective reading of the facts. So does the 47 percent number."



________________________________________________________________________

From my Conservative friend Fudgeman

Thanks for the insights into the tactics of the left to both obfuscate issues and gain readers.

For those of us not afflicted with ADD (or those responding well to medication), these tactics are all too transparent.

First you announce a good article on the topic of 46% / 47% who pay no federal income tax. You provide a link.

The link is to your webpage, where you take pots shots at talk radio and cable TV audiences, before providing yet another link to the actual NY Times story. (What, no advertising on your page?)

The NY Times piece begins by acknowledging 47% paid no (federal) income tax in 2009.

By the third paragraph, it says the figure is not true.

By the ninth paragraph, it says the figure is not wrong. (I saw this gag once in an Eddie Izard comedy routine: "Englebert Humperdink is dead.... No he isn't..... Yes he is, really....No he isn't.")

Of course between paragraphs three and nine is a lot of liberal rubbish filler about the need for more taxes through higher rates on the affluent.

In paragraph 10, we read that if you add the words "federal income" before the word tax, then yes indeed, 47% don't pay it. Excuse me! That's what we were talking about to begin with!

Paragraph 10 goes on to say those 47% who pay no federal income taxes are actually likely to be paying other taxes (just like the rest of us also pay), so they are not getting off entirely tax-free. No shit! What a surprise! Would the Times like also like to pin good citizenship medals on them?

Paragraph 11 drops a little bomb saying that 10% of households pay no net federal taxes....of any kind....not even federal payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare. (They had to bury that one in the middle of the piece, after most of their readers stopped paying close attention.)

By the time we get to paragraph 14, we've learned that the middle 20% of households...that's solidly middle class territory by definition...is paying, after factoring in credits, a whopping 3 percent income tax rate. (Another bomb, buried past the point of the ADD-afflicted to comprehend.)

Enough already. Let's just say that the case for piling more taxes on the wealthy job creators has NOT been made. (But, at least you drove some traffic to yours and the Times websites.) When you have about half of the country already picking up the tab for their own share of federal services plus those of the other half, you have to conclude that liberals are taking you for one cynical wild bullshit ride with a line like "paying your fair share."

By the way, the WSJ today nicely recounts the new taxes already set to be piled on to the wealthy (despite the extension of Bush-era income tax rates), thanks to ObamaCare.


___________________________________________________________________

My response to the Fudgeman

Fudgeman wrote:

"Thanks for the insights into the tactics of the left to both obfuscate issues and gain readers."

Craig. You are welcome. Always glad to help.

Fudgeman  "For those of us not afflicted with ADD (or those responding well to medication), these tactics are all too transparent."

Craig - Well, you got me there. I never thought you would see through me. I was wrong.

Fudge "First you announce a good article on the topic of 46%/47% who pay no federal income tax. You provide a link."

"The link is to your webpage, where you take pots shots at talk radio and cable TV audiences, before providing yet another link to the actual NY Times story. (What, no advertising on your page?)"

CH - Good idea, but I need some readership first. My mother doesn't even read it.



Fudge "Paragraph 11 drops a little bomb saying that 10% of households pay no net federal taxes....of any kind....not even federal payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare. (They had to bury that one in the middle of the piece, after most of their readers stopped paying close attention.)"

CH - Can you believe those deadbeats are not paying Federal tax? Shocking. They are leading the life of Riley, living on the streets and in public housing and not contributing as they should. The SCOUNDRELS!

Fudge "Enough already. Let's just say that the case for piling more taxes on the wealthy job creators has NOT been made. (But, at least you drove some traffic to yours and the Times websites.) When you have about half of the country already picking up the tab for their own share of federal services plus those of the other half, you have to conclude that liberals are taking you for one cynical wild bullshit ride with a line like "paying your fair share."

Craig. Affluent Conservatives are convinced that taxes should not be increased, or if they are increased, make sure it is on the poor. Liberals are convinced that taxes should be raised to make sure all entitlements can be paid to their constituents.

What will Congress do? Pretty sure they will increase the debt limit. I don't think they are crazy enough not to, but who knows? There are some whackos up there and we keep electing more.

I think Congress will agree to some tax increase, probably letting the Bush tax cuts of 2% expire in 2012. And they will do some cuts in Medicare, social security, military, and Federal pensions.

And that is all they probably can or will do, and it is probably enough.

Fudgeman, I think you approach this as an aggrieved guy who is being screwed by the govmint and is not going to take it any longer. Hear lots of this on Rush's show and other talk radio.

But I think a more logical approach is to consider yourself an owner of a very important corporation, the US. Your corporation finds itself in trouble - not enough revenue and having made a lot of promises to folks about what they will pay.

And as an owner of this corporation you can advise and direct the Corporate Board and CEO on steps to correct the dilemma. They must either: 


1. Increase Revenue
2. Decrease expense
3. Or Both

Politics is the art of compromise. I predict 3, which is what I think is right.

______________________________________


Furdgeman responds

Craig said,

"But I think a more logical approach is to consider yourself a owner of a very important corporation, the US. Your corporation finds itself in trouble - not enough revenue and having made a lot of promises to folks about what they will pay."

Fudgeman  "Craig, I think what you tend to find in the private sector, is that when revenues drop off from slack customer spending, is that you cut your costs. Cut prices if you can, find efficiencies, reduce labor costs, maybe eliminate underperforming product lines or stores. Or invent better, more compelling products. You adjust to the economics of the moment.

__________________________________________

Craig responds

Good point. But as a corporation you have made a lot of long term commitments - money that you owe. Hard to cut that.

Let us discuss costs one at a time so we don't get lost in the details - one that we are all closely involved with, and that is in some financial difficulty - Social Security.

Most of us have paid into Social Security for many years, and can anticipate getting money back for the rest of our lives. And we have been getting annual reports that show us how much we have "invested" over the years, and how much our Govmint says it will pay us over the rest of our lives.


The experts all tell us SS will be broke. So we have some tough choices. We could:

1. Renege on the amount we told retirees we would pay them - cut costs. Pay them (us) 80 or 90% of what they told us in writing they would pay.

2. Increase revenue - ie payroll tax. So you would likely like this tax since it falls on those lower income rascals who have been living off the fat of the land. But the younger folks think it is all a scam - they are paying pretty high payroll tax to pay for us - and they think there will be nothing for them.

3. Or reduce the COLA, or don't pay it to affluent folks, extend the age that you get full SS, etc.

All tough choices. Not popular, whatever you do. Politicians hate to make choices like this - so do we.

Now whose fault is all this? Social Security is a program that has been around for a long time and is quite popular. It keeps keep old folks from eating dog food and in the streets.

Is it Obama or Bush's fault? Or the Democratic or Republican Congress? Shared blame all around.

The fault is demographic - the pig in the python, us, the baby boomers who are now retiring.

Much of the problem resolves after we kick - since the pig is dead and won't be drawing social security. The system balances.

In the meantime our elected Reps have to make a tough decision. Damned if they do, damned if they don't.

Now where we can fault them is for not acting sooner. When they raised the full retirement age to 67 they should have probably raised it to 69 or 70. And we were affected by this change but were not outraged since it was far down the pipe.

Saturday, July 9, 2011

Blessed are the peacemakers

Blessed are the peacemakers: for they shall be called the children of God.                                                  King James Bible

Getting in the middle of other peoples fights is a good way to get your ___ kicked.                                       Wisdom of the Street


It is a good idea to try to keep the peace or get warring parties to stop warring. But it can also get you in trouble with both sides. 

My high school friend Gary W was a Chicago Policeman. He intervened in a domestic fight, keeping the man from pummeling the woman. The very large and heavy woman objected and took my friend down, biting him severely.

I did a year of social work in Norfolk, VA. I spent a great deal of time trying to keep the peace. One evening a major fight broke out. One fellow was swinging his switchblade while the other was trying to get at him with brass knuckles. A Good Samaritan tried to intervene. Brass knuckle man beat the Good Samaritan badly.


Lesson Learned – Be a Peacemaker, but try to stay out of the line of fire.

A lesson that the United States of America should learn.


Wednesday, July 6, 2011

Stimulus - $278,000 per Job

Interesting view of the stimulus. I am not sure
of their math. One thing it does miss is that
in addition to jobs the stimulus also paid for
a lot of needed infrastructure. But some of 
the stimulus went to social programs that
had little economic stimulus value. 


"Obama’s Economists: ‘Stimulus’ 

Has Cost $278,000 per Job" 


"When the Obama administration releases a report on the Friday before
 a long weekend, it’s clearly not trying to draw attention to the report’s
contents. Sure enough, the “Seventh Quarterly Report” on the economic
impact of the “stimulus,” released on Friday, July 1, provides further
evidence that President Obama’s economic “stimulus” did very little,
if anything, to stimulate the economy, and a whole lot to stimulate the debt."
obama walks alone
"The report was written by
the White House’s Council
of Economic Advisors, a
group of three economists
who were all handpicked by
Obama, and it chronicles the
alleged success of the
“stimulus” in adding or saving
jobs."




"That’s a cost to taxpayers of $278,000 per job."


Tuesday, July 5, 2011

How to Reduce the Budget


Submitted by an old friend on mine.


How would I reduce the federal budget in the United States?
I would allow President Obama and members of Congress to pocket a percentage of the decrease as personal compensation for a job well done.
 
Give a bonus to the President and members of Congress for cutting the budget. The more they cut, the more they get as a bonus. NOT a bad idea. Works in the business world, does it not?
 _________________

My Response

It is Interesting idea. But there would be lots of room for the crooks and scam artists in politics to really rob us blind. Every government statistic is suspect of being fudged. I'm afraid this would make it that much worse. 

And can you imagine Congress trying to get this bill passed? They would get lynched.

So, it is an interesting idea, but probably better to leave things as they are. Let them get their money the old fashioned ways.